Getting into UNC Chapel Hill?

I'm a junior in HS and I've got a 4.45 weighted GPA which is the average weighted GPA at UNC Chapel Hill. I will have completed 8 AP classes by the end of next year. I got a 2030 (1400 reading & math) on the SAT and a 30 on the ACT. I was on Varsity Cross Country as a Freshman and Sophomore (1 year captain), and I was on Varsity Track and Field as a Freshman, Sophomore, and Junior (I'll be doing track next year as well). I am in California Scholarship Fund and National Society of High School Scholars. Next year I will be doing Mock Trial and will also be a founding member of my school's Key Club and will be the Treasurer as well. I have 40 community service hours. I am an out of state student (California) and am listed as "Latino" (1/4 El Salvadorian). With 4-5 good letters of recommendation and a good essay do I have a good chance of getting into UNC Chapel Hill?